2020 Oscars Predictions (Major Categories)

As I’ve said many times already, 2019 was a fantastic year for film. This awards season is looking to be one of the most unpredictable and competitive in recent memory due to the astounding amount of recent quality releases. While I was disappointed by some of the nominations and snubs when they were released this past Monday, I’m still looking forward to seeing which films, actors, and directors take home the most coveted academy awards on February 9th. In this post, I will be predicting who I think will win in each of the major categories, and why I’m leaning that way. Let’s get into it.

Best Picture: Once Upon A Time In… Hollywood - This just seems like the conventional choice this year. Hollywood and the Academy would be able to pat themselves on the back by selecting the Tarantino love letter to the city itself. While I wouldn’t necessarily choose this as my own favorite film from the past year (that belongs to 1917), I wouldn’t be surprised to see it bring home the Academy’s most prestigious award. (Runner-Ups: Parasite, 1917)

Best Actress: Renee Zellweger, Judy - Although I have not yet seen this film, the hype surrounding Zellweger’s performance is undeniable. GoldDerby has her placed as the clear favorite to win here, and I have no reason to doubt that is what will happen. Transformative performances win over the Academy’s hearts, and I think Zellweger’s portrayal of Judy Garland will do just that. An unforgettable performance in a decent film. (Runner-Up: Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story)

Best Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, Joker - Joker took the world by storm upon its release, becoming the first R-rated film to ever amass over $1,000,000,000 at the box office. This film also leads this year’s field with 11 nominations, a surprisingly high amount in my opinion. While I don’t necessarily understand why Todd Philips’ direction was nominated instead of someone like Greta Gerwig or Noah Baumbach, I do see why Joaquin is the frontrunner in this category. This could be a career defining role, and just like in Renee Zellweger and Rami Malek’s cases, I see a transformative performance taking home Oscar gold this year to the surprise of no one. (Runner-Up: Adam Driver, Marriage Story)

Best Supporting Actress: Laura Dern, Marriage Story - As if she wasn’t already head and shoulders above her competition, the snubbing of Jennifer Lopez in this category from her performance in Hustlers completely solidifies Dern as the favorite to win for her role in Marriage Story. Dern is excellent at playing a confident, rich woman because she is one. Her presence in many of Marriage Story’s best scenes, such as Scarlett Johansson’s opening monologue or the climactic courtroom scene toward the end of the film, added very much to an already rich Noah Baumbach screenplay. She’s a lock here. (Runner-Up: Margot Robbie, Bombshell)

Best Supporting Actor: Brad Pitt, Once Upon A Time In… Hollywood - Brad Pitt’s character Cliff Booth is just so likable in a film already contending for best picture. I don’t see either of the supporting men from The Irishman getting in here, and the fact that Pitt has already won both the Globe and CCA for this role cements the Oscar pick, in my opinion. (Runner-Ups: Joe Pesci for The Irishman, Al Pacino for The Irishman)

Best Director: Bong Joon-ho, Parasite - I should preface this by stating that I have, unfortunately, not yet seen this film. It’s at the top of my watchlist and queue on Amazon Prime. That being said, Bong Joon-ho’s career seems to have been leading up to this film, which has garnered both positive audience and critical feedback. I’d love to see Bong get the win here, as it would level the distrubution of awards from each film respectively. (Runner-Ups: Martin Scorsese for The Irishman, Sam Mendes for 1917)

Best Cinematography: 1917 - Roger Deakins is completely deserving of this award. This film is as much of a technical accomplishment as it is a storytelling masterpiece, and a lot of that success is due to Deakins’ ability as a cinematographer. To successfully execute what is stylistically shot as a single take is profoundly difficult, and I hope Deakins is recognized for his efforts. (Runner-Up: The Irishman)

Best Adapted Screenplay: The Irishman - While Little Women is as completely deserving of this award, I don’t see the Academy snubbing Scorsese from every major category. I think The Irishman takes best adapted screenplay, and Once Upon A Time In… Hollywood takes best original screenplay along with Best Picture. (Runner-Up: Little Women)

There will be many more awards handed out on Oscar night, but these are my most anticipated selections. The subjectivity of film, at times, makes these award ceremonies frustrating. I’m just happy that I’m lucky enough to be alive during a time when so many quality films are being released. Who do you think will win in these categories? Let me know!